A BlockBeats report published October 29, citing Jin10 and LSEG data, put the money-market-implied probability of a 25-basis-point increase at the Federal Reserve’s December policy meeting at 83%.
After the October rate hold
The Fed kept its federal-funds target range at 3.75%–4.00% on October 28. Lisa D. Cook and Beth M. Hammack dissented, favoring a quarter-percentage-point increase at that meeting, according to the official FOMC statement.
Sources: the BlockBeats report citing Jin10 and LSEG, published October 29, 2026, at 06:26:04 UTC, and the Fed’s October 28 statement.