CME FedWatch data cited by BlockBeats put the probability of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike in December at 70.7%, compared with 29.3% odds of no change.
Market-implied probabilities
The figures are a snapshot of futures-market pricing reported on November 1. They reflect market-implied odds rather than a Federal Reserve decision or an independent forecast.
What the data does not show
The flash gave no broader rate path, policy guidance or explanation for the move in probabilities. The odds can change as economic data, central-bank comments and futures prices change.
Source: BlockBeats English flash, which links to the CME FedWatch Tool, published November 1, 2026.